May 9, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Yan Cabral | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 045 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Yan Cabral | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 998 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Yan Cabral | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 002 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Zak Cummings earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Yan Cabral | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 83 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 44 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 039 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Zak Cummings slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 28 vs 23 significant strikes, 33.7% vs 60.5% accuracy. Zak Cummings capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Yan Cabral | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:07 | 6:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 1 043 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Zak Cummings edged out Yan Cabral on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 6:33 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Yan Cabral | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 213 | 255 |
| Activity ELO | 999 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Zak Cummings demonstrated standard activity with 255 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Zak Cummings capitalized on this activity level, while Yan Cabral's 213-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Yan Cabral | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 000 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Zak Cummings extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yan Cabral is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Yan Cabral | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

