April 12, 2024
UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Yan Xiaonan | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 223 | 1 320 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Yan Xiaonan | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 106 | 1 344 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +31 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Zhang Weili captured the UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Yan Xiaonan | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 281 | 1 468 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Zhang Weili earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Yan Xiaonan | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 106 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 85 | 157 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 73 | 256 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 200 | 1 496 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Zhang Weili dominated the striking exchanges with 256 vs 73 total strikes, 106 vs 43 significant strikes, 67.5% vs 50.6% accuracy. Zhang Weili capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Yan Xiaonan | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:20 | 12:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 68 |
| Ground ELO | 1 179 | 1 531 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Zhang Weili dominated Yan Xiaonan on the ground with 6 vs 3 takedowns, 12:44 of control time, 68 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Yan Xiaonan | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 343 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 170 | 1 271 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +22 |
Zhang Weili demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Zhang Weili capitalized on this activity level, while Yan Xiaonan's 343-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Yan Xiaonan | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 152 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +27 |
Zhang Weili extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yan Xiaonan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Yan Xiaonan | Zhang Weili |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 092 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.